Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.446554 0.486166 0.529122 0.579418 0.637015 0.701304 0.779038
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.370810 0.427666 0.494927 0.581666 0.692543 0.832421 1.027205
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.316147 0.380008 0.460547 0.572482 0.729099 0.949155 1.299877
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.286939 0.356937 0.450131 0.588514 0.799108 1.128275 1.734772
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.255664 0.325671 0.422499 0.573371 0.818097 1.234747 2.105416
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.227927 0.295347 0.391224 0.546091 0.809976 1.291313 2.412569
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.206016 0.270673 0.364731 0.521283 0.799500 1.338947 2.730863
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.196076 0.262105 0.360948 0.531933 0.853192 1.530808 3.565171
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.191316 0.260541 0.367444 0.560490 0.947214 1.850656 5.174405
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.181803 0.250739 0.359499 0.561914 0.986687 2.059345 6.747778
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.171152 0.238252 0.345805 0.550560 0.995852 2.192474 8.274518
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.161395 0.226455 0.332161 0.537391 0.998014 2.308171 10.045361
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.152902 0.216448 0.321282 0.529428 1.014030 2.489859 13.126514
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.146435 0.209404 0.315126 0.530593 1.054650 2.792373 19.430219
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.139162 0.200544 0.304998 0.522243 1.069275 3.015706 27.558121
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.135619 0.197651 0.305318 0.536118 1.148905 3.590991 57.242473
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.128870 0.188859 0.294004 0.522842 1.147161 3.791835 89.393281
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.121357 0.178350 0.278743 0.498947 1.108243 3.774590 114.015368
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.114662 0.168942 0.264991 0.477168 1.071918 3.755063 147.923493
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.112170 0.166706 0.264704 0.486519 1.137025 4.413742 747.636564
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.111541 0.167679 0.270650 0.511545 1.264059 5.740948 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.108403 0.163984 0.267092 0.512790 1.308636 6.556756 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.104356 0.158447 0.259464 0.502850 1.308766 6.983698 NaN